Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 24.441998 27.793220 31.457288 35.764198 40.692724 46.161827 52.698485
2025-01-05 19.155148 23.626071 28.942395 35.745044 44.240902 54.530644 67.983447
2025-01-12 15.310232 20.148337 26.300836 34.731101 46.034171 60.738512 81.438273
2025-01-19 12.827660 17.814020 24.519370 34.249044 48.097668 67.237863 95.935304
2025-01-26 11.510321 16.752848 24.155804 35.453127 52.405234 77.128987 116.345985
2025-02-02 10.607828 16.098600 24.197894 37.129649 57.479954 88.639337 140.663216
2025-02-09 9.594775 15.113199 23.576196 37.647082 60.757650 97.731437 162.399361
2025-02-16 8.484507 13.817244 22.285972 36.889454 61.820148 103.326082 179.060181
2025-02-23 7.582243 12.734131 21.184351 36.258178 62.935876 109.035037 196.560971
2025-03-02 6.844512 11.830684 20.260123 35.782894 64.202957 115.070249 215.357867
2025-03-09 6.285636 11.165611 19.656163 35.773231 66.254588 122.682962 238.045730
2025-03-16 5.781021 10.537025 19.039443 35.649271 68.044823 129.972954 261.043344
2025-03-23 5.503546 10.308549 19.149335 36.955994 72.845416 143.848908 299.822525
2025-03-30 5.116767 9.834131 18.753180 37.245853 75.700938 154.313633 333.264055
2025-04-06 4.628102 9.108658 17.795548 36.296742 75.901518 159.370255 355.799981
2025-04-13 4.250149 8.559083 17.119010 35.831036 77.033713 166.491413 383.981702
2025-04-20 4.086809 8.426002 17.263888 37.108187 82.094005 182.814218 436.093313
2025-04-27 3.979414 8.396346 17.616171 38.872454 88.465388 202.935705 500.620442
2025-05-04 3.771352 8.128905 17.433588 39.417416 92.096819 217.190809 552.868491
2025-05-11 3.473588 7.634384 16.705245 38.623176 92.449733 223.650595 586.061509
2025-05-18 3.214622 7.200077 16.065669 37.961063 93.035647 230.751917 622.120038
2025-05-25 2.991317 6.824533 15.520918 37.462474 93.963619 238.835592 662.215778
2025-06-01 2.820435 6.553670 15.190755 37.452369 96.138143 250.439858 714.224312